Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.186079 0.215052 0.248729 0.291178 0.343849 0.407856 0.492778
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.153451 0.193054 0.244853 0.319516 0.427847 0.585321 0.844090
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.128503 0.171968 0.234073 0.333644 0.498620 0.781326 1.358855
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.109321 0.153162 0.220154 0.337041 0.553545 0.983915 2.076470
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.094087 0.136466 0.204654 0.331922 0.590646 1.177490 3.021561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.085216 0.127686 0.199467 0.342628 0.662825 1.501666 4.918506
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075649 0.116006 0.186680 0.334729 0.691107 1.741172 7.162257
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069528 0.109140 0.181065 0.339663 0.752981 2.145882 11.912278
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.063498 0.101520 0.172573 0.335908 0.790865 2.518112 19.062266
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059549 0.097095 0.169469 0.343650 0.866971 3.160735 37.424710
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056576 0.094059 0.168593 0.356577 0.968488 4.124629 93.118192
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053258 0.089939 0.164736 0.360844 1.044452 5.137436 257.591137
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050529 0.086730 0.162524 0.369654 1.148397 6.713339 1442.311247
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047978 0.083597 0.160029 0.377271 1.256845 8.841710 76289.602551
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045540 0.080423 0.156960 0.382499 1.362231 11.620042 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043018 0.076811 0.152325 0.381685 1.440278 14.729629 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040389 0.072721 0.145985 0.373755 1.476557 17.628220 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038973 0.071092 0.145486 0.385519 1.642529 25.930530 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036714 0.067421 0.139352 0.375977 1.668384 31.069182 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035306 0.065506 0.137497 0.381617 1.808035 45.084682 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033608 0.062798 0.133228 0.377184 1.873420 59.029963 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.032554 0.061460 0.132450 0.386203 2.061637 97.404994 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.031776 0.060681 0.133088 0.401311 2.332708 196.371721 NaN